The game with the corona/covid-19 virus is a numbers game. Reasonably good ASL players should understand that a two FP attack down two is a better attack than a four FP attack flat. They probably know that a Gun with a final TK# of four against a particular AFV but with a ROF of three is a potent weapon against that AFV. These same players should be able to apply that understanding to see why corona/covid-19 is dangerous not individually but on average and why you have to apply averaging measures to try to contain it.
There are two considerations when determining the cumulative effects of spreading disease. The first is, how easy is the disease to spread from person to person. The second is, how damaging is any individual infection. Eboli, for instance, is often very damaging in individual cases but hard to spread, especially if you take the right precautions. Measles is very, very, ridiculously easy to spread but is not that dangerous to any one individual. Corona/covid-19 seems to be in the middle: somewhat easy to spread, dangerous to a small but substantial population.
Taking a look at the numbers, if you have an large vulnerable population and each infection spreads on average to more than one person (the reproduction number), the infection spreads geometrically. If each infection spreads on average to less than one person, then the infection will die out. When the reproduction number is less than one, how quickly or slowly it dies out will depend on how many people had it at the start and how far below one you can drive the reproduction number. One way to drive the reproduction number down is to immunize the population, either through natural (having had the virus) or artificial (a shot) means. Another is to reduce the number of contacts that each person has on average. Ideally this should be done to people who are infectious by completely removing any contact with them (quarantine). In most diseases there is a lag between the time they become infectious and when it is noticed. As a second-best, less efficient method, if you reduce the number of contacts that everyone has, you should end up reducing the reproduction number for those who are infectious.
As an alternative, you can let the disease spread unchecked. Eventually a large part of the population becomes immune because they had it, and the reproduction number drops below one. Of course then a part of the population becomes immune because they are dead, which may be large or small depending on the disease. Historically the most similar event I know of was the Spanish flu of 1918. The number of people infected was around a half a billion, and the number who died from it was somewhere in the range of seventeen to fifty million. Not everyone who got it died but a lot did. Corona/covid-19 seems to be somewhat similar in both aspects, but I don't think anyone knows for sure whether it is more or less dangerous than, say, Spanish flu (a note for Spanish readers: from what I understand that particular flu acquired the name "Spanish" not because it was somehow particular to Spain but because at the time it started there was wartime censoring on the spread of the disease in non-neutral countries; the reporting on its progress in Spain was not censored, and it acquired its moniker by information being surpressed in other countries).
So if you get corona virus and spread it to one or more other people, will you die? On average, probably not. You may be pretty sick, or you may not even know you had it from what I have heard. Will someone else die? This is the harder question. If everyone else behaves like you and on average spreads it to more than one person, then the answer is yes, it is likely that on average someone else will die from your transmission of the virus. In ASL terms this is like taking a low odds shot that has high ROF.
The net result is that you, individually, should probably not be too concerned about getting corona/covid-19, but especially in the group you are a member of here on gamesquad, you probably know one or more persons who do fall in the category of higher risk. And even they may survive, but, on average, at least some will not. I can think of some players about whom I would be greatly concerned if they did get it.
This is all based on what I have read so far. If I have gotten something (or everything!) wrong, I apologize, but I believe this is a summary of why events are progressing as they are. And also why ROF 3 weapons are so good in ASL, even if any one shot is not likely to produce a result.
JR