Authors of the
Great Barrington Declaration have taken a different approach to prevailing Covid-19 policy making supported by signatories of the John Snow Memorandum, as noted in
The Lancet last November. According to one of the architects of the declaration, only data will prove whether lock-downs and mask mandates were the right way to go. Moreover, in
Sunetra Gupta's view, it's difficult to distinguish the effects of herd immunity from vaccine-acquired immunity in the data to date. Further, she contends that just as herd immunity does not prevent the spread of the disease, neither does the vaccine, which is designed to lessen the severity of the disease, not prevent its spread. IOW, even vacinated people can spread Covid.
But here's the thing, regardless of how a person acquired immunity
to the severest effects of the disease, the disease
will become endemic, and therefore able to reinfect the general population indefinitely. A zero-Covid policy is thus doomed to failure. However, like other coronaviruses, such as SARS, there's no reason to think, according to Sunetra Gupta and her colleagues, that Covid-19 will not become a far less deadly disease once it becomes endemic than influenza continues to be.
So if we cannot eradicate Covid-19, what do we do about it? Well, in the context of ASLOk, I think the sensible thing is for people who are, or suspect they are, vulnerable to Covid to do one of two things: get vaccinated well before they attend, or stay home. If players want to attend, whether vacinnated or not, it's up to them. And if some are unhappy about the prospect of unvaccinated people attending, the former ought to consider staying home too. This is the same advice I'd offer to those concerned about influenza, or any other communicable disease. Unless TDs are going to get into the business of requiring TB and Hep-C visas at tourneys, we all ought to accept that life is full of (largely) manageable risks.
Based on current data, the odds of a vaccinated person under 70, with no known co-morbidities, being hospitalized, let alone dying, from Covid is
miniscule. IOW, you have a better chance of rolling back-to-back boxcars several times over than suffering serious illness if you've been vaccinated.
Speaking of luck, who are the favourites to win MVP in the
World Cup this year?