Agree it is just a guess. Initially SK suggested 0.6%. Currently US deaths are 122,681 and confirmed cases are 2,390,268. That works out at 5.13%. Germany works out at 4.67%, vonM suggested 2%. As in a previous post even 0.5% gives you over 1.14M US, SK's 0.6% gives 1.39M.
Whether a death is entirely due to Covid or partially due to Covid (additional strain on top of existing conditions), that person still would not be dead without Covid. I disagree that calculating possible final outcomes is over sensationalising. There are still large numbers (likely less here in GS) that believe that Covid is a hoax, a nothing burger or little more than the flu. You clearly don't believe that, but possible outcomes might provide the sane amongst us with discussion points when talking with those who do. The math is trivial.
While you did everything possible to reduce the risk to yourself and others, if I scare someone here into ensuring they wear a mask, keep distancing, etc and save even one life then I regard my "sensationalising" as worth it. Our biggest enemy is complacency and people getting stir crazy. I want to keep people on their toes.
An analogy is my bad knee. It was quite bad around Xmas, but has greatly improved since. However it is still not quite right and the one thing I learned is that it's not the bad days you have to be extra careful on, but the good days when you forget to be careful.